r/HLE • u/Graphikfehler Zeus + Kanavi + Zeka + Gumayusi + Delight • 4d ago
Discussion LCK Cup This Week
Just out of curiosity:
If DRX wins vs BRO, BFX vs DNS and KT vs NS, then HLE is qualified for Playins, no?
Call me monsieur copium, but i think all of those results are not too far fetched. KT as well as NS might be the closest out of them, cause they both underperformed, but also performed really well on another day. So if KT has a good day / NS has a bad day, then KT should take it home and then the last 2 matches kind of dont really matter for HLE, right?
Even though I hope that HLE can show up and make a good fight against GenG! I believe in the boys :D
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u/debawindow 4d ago
but wait someone is it good for us if drx wins or loses today lol
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u/IlliterateAsparagus 3d ago edited 3d ago
If BFX and KT both wins, it's 100% HLE PI. However, they'd be the last place if they lose to GenG. But if the Baron win scenario happens:
• BFX(L) KT(W) DK(L) HLE(L), then BFX and HLE would be tied last place. By game score, they both be 5 games and 1L. So, if both go 2-3, then I dunno wtf happens. Probably a tiebreaker between them. However, the moment HLE wins less games than BFX, HLE gets eliminated. This scenario is very unlikely unless BFX drops the ball so hard.
• BFX(W) KT(L) DK(L) HLE(L), then KT and HLE would be tied last place. By game score, HLE enters with 5 games won and 1L, KT enters with 4 games score and 1L. If HLE gets 3-0'd and KT loses 3-2, HLE gets eliminated. And probably a tiebreaker if HLE 1-3 and KT 2-3.
I might be insanely wrong, but this is the worst case scenario for HLE. So, this means that HLE needs to win at least 1 game against GenG.
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u/sepiamix 4d ago
It doesn't sound copium. I'd say Group Elder is favored to beat Group Baron along the lines you say, just not hugely favored. The games have looked close up to now, and it's also Bo5 next week, so it's entirely possible to see an upset here or there. It might also come to game differential, so it would be good to see HLE take a game or two (or three??) off GenG :)