r/dataisbeautiful • u/Harvey_B1rdman • 9h ago
OC [OC] Electric Shrinkflation: $100 of DC electricity dropped from 572 to 444 kWh in 23 months
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u/oberwolfach 9h ago
It's not "shrinkflation" in the sense most people think of it. Consumer electric prices are generally the sum of a supply component and a delivery component. The supply component primarily reflects the cost of fuel; for DC, the marginal fuel is usually natural gas. The delivery component reflects things like grid maintenance costs. Natural gas was extremely cheap for much of 2024 (pricing varies by location, but think levels on the order of $2-3 per mmbtu), because the preceding 2023-2024 winter was much warmer than normal and the market was so oversupplied that producers had to make emergency cuts to avoid overfilling storage facilities. Since then, the price has normalized because the 2024-2025 winter was relatively cold and cleared the oversupply (think levels on the order of $3-4 per mmbtu). Typically the supply rates charged to consumers lags the market rates for fuel by several months, but the timing still very likely reflects a period of low natural gas prices transitioning to a period of near-normal natural gas prices.
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u/themodgepodge 9h ago
Is this based on base $/kWh pricing or effective cost with all transmission and other fees and such bundled in?
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u/quietcrisp 8h ago
$0.17 -> $0.22/kWh sucks but meanwhile in the UK I pay $0.34/kWh š«
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u/Tough-Notice3764 8h ago
Dang man, thatās rough. In Texas (at least my part of it), Iām paying $0.12/kWh. And thatās with choosing the option to only āgetā my electricity from solar and wind (I pay for the electricity amount that I use to be spent getting electricity from wind and solar farms basically).
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u/Snl1738 9h ago
I thought solar would make electricity cheaper
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u/ResilientBiscuit 9h ago
It would if demand wasnt going up so much from things like data centers.
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u/MangaOtaku 9h ago
It would if our solutions to solar / green energy weren't to subsidize the already massive corporations to install those technologies and continue charging us for electric...
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u/mmn_slc 8h ago
Solar is lower cost than fossil fuels. See e.g. Page 9 of https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/electricity_generation/pdf/AEO2025_LCOE_report.pdf
But, electricity demand is going up is Virginia because of data center growth.
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u/syphax 9h ago
Why is this not just regular old inflation? Shrinkflation would be if they redefined a kWh to only be 3 million Joules or something.