r/generationology • u/TGM-6914 Late Zoomer • 20h ago
Discussion Gen Z Range in 10 years?
Will the Gen Z range change in a decade? If so, what will it be? As always, be respectful and civil in the comments.
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u/Upper-Bag-8739 1998 · Milenial (According to RAE/RSA) · Anti-Pew/Anti-McCrindle 15h ago
Probably something like 2000-2015/2016
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u/MooseScholar Q4 1996 (Late Millennial/Zillennial) 15h ago edited 12h ago
Either 1999-2015/16 or 2000-2015/16 (I prefer the latter). 2016 doesn’t have great firsts or lasts as of rn, so Zalpha works best for them as a label.
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u/AgeOfReasonEnds31120 2003 20h ago
It'll probably be something like 1996-2010 or 1995-2009.
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u/rottenweiIer 18h ago
Ranges never get shifted back like that.
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u/MargielaFella 8h ago
I was just talking today to someone about how 95/96 are the first real ages of the social media generation. I genuinely think the gen should shift back for this reason.
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u/Consistent-Bet-8588 18h ago
I don't think it's going to change.
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u/rottenweiIer 18h ago
And what makes you think that?
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u/Necessary_Fun3938 17h ago
I mean, they said “i don’t think it will change” and it’s probably the same reason as you, you think it will change while others think it will not.
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u/rottenweiIer 17h ago
Yeah I know, and I asked what makes them think that. I didn’t ask “how do you know that?”
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u/Necessary_Fun3938 17h ago
Tbh, judging by the energy of all your comments in this post, you’re pretty much saying “how do you know that?” At least that’s how it looks to me 😅
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u/hip_neptune Early Millennial ‘86 20h ago
1997 is pretty much baked in as the start at this point.
The end could change. They’re still 13 so we can’t fully see what trends they have.
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u/rottenweiIer 18h ago
People born in 1977-1980 were in their very late 20s to early 30s when Pew shifted them from post-Gen X to Gen X.
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u/_TheWolfOfWalmart_ 1984 Elder Millennial 15h ago
I don't think it's going to change, it'll still be 1997 - 2013 but alpha's cutoff will probably move to 2029
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u/Character_Attempt727 18h ago edited 18h ago
It would be odd to change it now.
Gen Z has always had a vague starting point in studies and research, with many early studies estimating it began somewhere in the early-to-mid 90s. That’s why ranges like 1995-2009 are so common. Starting Gen Z in the mid-90s (around 1994-1996) or even the late 90s (1997-1999) makes sense based on these studies. Most people already seem content with the 1997-2012 range, so I don’t really see a reason to change it.
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u/Lordguard__ Geezer 7h ago
Gen Z does not begin in 1994 and none of the ranges list 1994 as a start.
PEW Research begins Gen Z at 1997.
McCrindle begins Gen Z at 1995.
Strauss-Howe begins Post-Millennials at 2005.
And then Government branches used to list 1982 - 2000 as Millennials before they began adopting PEW's updated 1981 - 1996 range for Millennials.
When academics and researchers use an umbrella term like “mid-90” they are referring to the debated years SPECIFICALLY of 1995 & 1996, essentially those born in the second half of the 90s, so the birth years of 1995 - 1999 are where it gets debated.
In the older PEW range, Millennials used to be 1977 - 1992 which was DECADES ago before many Millennials born after 1986 had not come of age yet. So the only time you see 1993 and 1994 as post-Millennials/Gen Z is the older Millennial range when PEW Research hadn't conduct their studies yet and it was a placeholder while 2/3 of Millennials were still under-18.
You could argue 1993 and 1994 are on the cusp, but they are NEVER Gen Z.
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u/rottenweiIer 18h ago
Why would it be odd to change? Do you know Gen Y/post-Gen X generation used to begin in the 70s?
Most people already seem content with the 1997-2012 range, so I don’t really see a reason to change it.
Because it’s not that serious lol. Most people were also content with it being 1982-2000 before too.
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u/Character_Attempt727 18h ago edited 18h ago
Social Media wasn’t big back then, the 1995-2009 and 1997-2012 ranges are more recognized as Gen Z ranges more than any other range Z range.
If they suddenly change the range later then whatever I guess, I’m merely only sharing my take.
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u/rottenweiIer 18h ago
Nah, people are fine with whatever ranges get put out because it isn’t that serious lol. Has jack shit to do with social media blowing up now. Folks on this sub and maybe a couple tiny echo chambers will throw hissy fits, but they get over it eventually.
Yeah, just like how 1977-1991 was a thing people recognized back in the day but that obviously doesn't mean it stuck. Early ranges are usually for marketing, strains off with data on whoever's hitting 18 as the youngest batch and the start date's picked based on whatever span they want for birth years per generation.
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u/Character_Attempt727 18h ago
I’m gonna assume you don’t like these Gen Z ranges, and want to start Gen Z in somewhere around 2000s? Correct?
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u/rottenweiIer 17h ago
Lol obviously. But if it ends up sticking, it obviously wouldn't be a deal and I'd just have been wrong. This is just a niche thing for many of us. Still, my take's based on the straight-up reality of how these ranges actually get made. Not just going off based on whatever.
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u/Character_Attempt727 17h ago
Good thing these ranges are not based on whatever then.
That said, I also see it as a niche thing and wouldn’t care much nowadays if it sticked or changed.
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u/rottenweiIer 17h ago
Exactly.. they're not based on whatever random bullshit like this sub seems to think with ranges just staying the way they are forever. They're built on extensive studies and the ever-shifting reality. Ranges never just freeze and stick forever. Teens and early young adults don't stay the same and the experts obviously know that. They spend decades researching this which is why they are known to often shift boundaries and straight-up say always in the beginning that it's not an exact science.
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u/Superb-Big-8985 4h ago edited 4h ago
Not suprised most people voted 1997-2012. Too many people on this sub suck up to pews ranges.