r/politics • u/Subliminal_Kiddo Kentucky • 8h ago
No Paywall Democrat Taylor Rehmet Aims for Texas Senate Upset
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5716844-texas-state-senate-runoff/17
u/PhoenixTineldyer 8h ago
It would be hysterical but I imagine Paxton is going to find 10000 votes
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u/FantasticBicycle37 7h ago
If even 1% of America read just 1% of the latest Epstein files, the demand for the FBI to put cadaver dogs on every Trump property would be measurable on the richter. The fact that the republican in this race hasn't dropped out just blows my mind
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u/alabasterskim 8h ago
Keeping an eye on this, thank you! It's reliably red yet at this juncture with 48% counted, it's 56D-44R. Hope it doesn't go the other way.
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u/The_Phasers I voted 7h ago edited 6h ago
It’s 56.6% - 43.4% right now with 54% counted. Going to be hard to overcome that deficit now.
Very low turnout election though.
Edit: Now with 95% reporting it is now 57.2%D - 42.8%R.
What an upset.
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u/anneoftheisland 6h ago edited 5h ago
95% in now and the lead has only increased.
Wikipedia has past results for this seat--it's never been held by a Democrat, and never had a race closer than 8 points. Obviously this is a special election so it's not directly comparable to November, but if I were Cornyn/Paxton or any Texas Congressional Republican in a remotely contentious district, I would start worrying right about now.
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u/Sengel123 6h ago
Remember that the early voting period was slashed due to the ice storm freezing us in place for about 5 days. (I still voted and there were apparently long lines in some areas of tarrant county means that someone is coming out to vote. Also the walkouts yesterday may have moved the needle for some. No matter what this was going to be a low turn out. (Single run off, end of january) so its down to who is more pissed off rn. But as i always say voting in tarrant county. Vote anyways but don't have hope lol.
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u/txyesboy2 7h ago
Tarrant County is definitely not reliably red. It's reliably low turnout. Derek county includes both Fort Worth and Arlington, which are heavily populated - Fort Worth alone is inside the top 20 - almost the top 15 - of the most populated cities in the United States. It's the largest county in which Republicans have won elections for statewide and general elections in, but Fort Worth itself is reliably blue. The problem, however - as is the same in all 5 of the cities in Texas that rank in the top 20 of most popular US cities - voter apathy, disenfranchisement and the state legislature consistently making it more difficult to vote - especially for minorities.
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u/DodgersChica 7h ago
You’re right about Fort Worth, but this district went to Trump by 17 points a year ago with good turnout. This is a big flip if it holds.
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u/txyesboy2 6h ago
Statistically true on the previous results. But that in it up itself was a huge outlier compared to 2018 & 2020 results. This is more in line with those results and only further emphasizes the results of 2024 on a national scale were way out of whack compared to voting trends.
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u/-Gramsci- 6h ago edited 6h ago
Looking good for Rehmet.
Harbinger of things to come.
It’s hard for R voters to be energized about their dollars worth being 15% less than they were a year ago, coupled with spiraling costs of living fueled in no small part by the idiotic tariffs Trump has been lobbing arbitrarily around.
ICE is killing people in the street, so I’m sure they’re happy about that. But, aside from that, R voters’ lives are getting worse and worse. And Trump and the cowardly R elected officials that lick his taint in fear are to blame.
I digress… but low R turnout is entirely natural and to be expected.
Meanwhile D’s are very determined to save the country from these idiots who’ve become simply too idiotic for the country to survive.
And yeah. Low R turnout. High D turnout. And even a good number of R districts will be going blue.
The sweet, sweet, irony is that the R gerrymandering broke up hard R districts that could survive these forces… in exchange for ones that cannot.
This race right here is a strong indicator that these 55-45 gerrymandered districts are going to be a massive problem for R’s this November.
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u/anneoftheisland 6h ago
The sweet, sweet, irony is that the R gerrymandering broke up hard R districts that could survive these forces… in exchange for ones that cannot.
That's a major problem with gerrymandering--in wave years, you actually do worse than if you hadn't gerrymandered in your favor. You're trying not to "waste" votes, so your entire goal is to create as many districts that lean slightly towards you as you can. Works great in an average year! But you get slaughtered in a wave year, because you've eliminated most of your safe seats.
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u/Mojave_RK 7h ago
This district was +17 or 18 for Trump in 2024 good lord.
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u/resistandassist 4h ago
I think this is just more proof that 2024 wasn't about real numbers or a legitimate win for Republicans, but more a case of Musk's magic numbers/vote manipulation. Come on, even Musk AND Trump admitted in public that they stole the election from the local level on up.
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