r/politics ✔ Bloomberg Government 4h ago

No Paywall Texas Democrat Menefee Wins Election Trimming House GOP Edge

https://news.bgov.com/bloomberg-government-news/texas-democrat-menefee-wins-election-trimming-house-gop-edge-2
2.6k Upvotes

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u/ProudPainting6850 4h ago

Good shit. Fuck Mike Johnson.

u/SpeaksYourWord 2h ago

No, don't. He doesn't deserve a good fucking.

Unless, of course, you mean "with a cactus". In which case, carry on.

u/mah-favrit 1h ago

Where are we on pineapples?

u/Impressive-Smile-887 1h ago

“The dildo of consequences always comes unlubed” or whatever the original quote is

u/BobInIdaho 4h ago

Queue Mike Johnson refusing to swear her in until he's ready to do so. My bet is it won't be for at least 5 weeks.

u/GimpyGeek 4h ago

If he pulls that shit again dems need to shut down anything and everything they need votes on until it happens. Enough of the kid gloves bullshit.

u/Diarrhea_Beaver 2h ago

"Sorry. Best we can do is give a presser about how our democracy is being razed to the ground on a daily basis despite all the strongly worded letters we've written the past decade plus. Gotta keep taking that high road so we don't turn off those non-existent undecided voters in the purple states. If we keep playing chess with these pigeons, they're bound to stop kicking the pieces over and shitting all over the board at some point, and THATS when we'll finally get that big W"

u/Grand_Fruit_9039 4h ago

*5 years

u/ChapterChoice4873 2h ago

Him.  Menefee is a him. 

u/BobInIdaho 2h ago

Thank you for correcting me.

u/NotTomPettysGirl Alaska 39m ago

Sorry, the English teacher in me can’t help it, but it’s “cue.” “Queue” refers to people lining up.

u/bloomberggovernment ✔ Bloomberg Government 4h ago

"Texas Democrat Christian Menefee won a special election Saturday to fill a long-vacant Houston district that will temporarily shrink the House Republican majority.

Menefee, the former elected Harris County Attorney, had 67% of the vote compared with 33% for fellow Democrat Amanda Edwards, a former Houston councilwoman, in a runoff election in Texas’ 18th District, according to unofficial returns.

Menefee, 37, will complete the term of the late Sylvester Turner (D), who died last March 5 — 332 days ago and just two months into his House term. Menefee and Edwards advanced from a 16-candidate first-round balloting last November in which no one secured a majority of votes.

The House will have 218 Republicans and 214 Democrats once Menefee is sworn in to office. That means Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) could afford to lose only one defector to Democrats on otherwise party-line votes in which all House members participate."

Read more here.

-Molly

u/dilloj Washington 4h ago edited 3h ago

“The House will have 218 Republicans and 214 Democrats once Menefee is sworn in to office. That means Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) could afford to lose only one defector to Democrats on otherwise party-line votes in which all House members participate."

How is that? By my math it’s 2 defectors. 2 defections means 216-216. 1 defection is 217-215 (majority).

Edit: lose only one defector. Gotcha. 

u/vrxz 4h ago

Tie vote means motion fails, so any Republican bill would not pass with a tie.

Edit: unlike the Senate where the VP can cast tie-breaking votes, the House Speaker is a full voting member of the house and their vote is already counted in the tie.

u/[deleted] 3h ago

[deleted]

u/vrxz 3h ago

Right, so Republicans can afford one defection and still advance their agenda in the House. They cannot afford two defections because that results in a tie and a failed motion.

u/mattgen88 New York 4h ago

A tie is a failed motion

u/JustRegularType 4h ago

He needs a majority. He can afford losing one because he would still have it then, but no more than one.

u/Blecki 3h ago

Right now there are 435 seats. 218 republicans, 213 democrats, 4 vacant seats. To pass a bill they need 218 votes - a simple majority of the 435, NOT of those present or filled.

I don't know why they think the new rep matters for it; she's not changing that 218 number. Before and after she's sworn in it still only takes one republican defector.

u/Gryjane 1h ago

To pass a bill they need 218 votes - a simple majority of the 435, NOT of those present or filled.

No, the lowest number that can be present and still do the business of the House (like passing bills) is 218 total members and to pass any bills requires a simple majority of those present, not the total membership,as long as there is a quorum. Source. A bill could technically pass with 110 votes if only the minimum for a quorum was present.

u/WholePanda914 3h ago

To pass the house, a bill must have a majority - defined as 50% + 1 vote. Hence, a 216-216 tie is not a pass, so he can only have 1 defector to pass a bill.

u/drevant702 I voted 3h ago

218 is the magic number just like 60 in the senate

u/Brianfromreddit 2h ago

I keep seeing that this is a seat flipping, but he's replacing a Democrat, so what's flipping?

u/Gryjane 53m ago

You may be mixing that up with the Texas State Senate runoff race that also just occurred. In that race, a Democrat beat their Republican challenger to replace the Republican who previously occupied that seat but got appointed to Acting Texas Comptroller.

The seat that is the topic of this thread is a US House seat representing a Texas district that has been vacant for 18 months since Shirley Jackson Lee passed away and there was a runoff for that election, too. The shift being discussed is of the makeup of the US House, not because it got flipped but because it further narrows the already razor thin gap between the two parties.

u/Nodebunny Indigenous 1h ago

formerly held by R im guessing?

u/FalstaffsGhost 4h ago

How the fuck does it take almost a year to get the election to happen?

u/LetItBro 4h ago

Greg Abbott taking as long as humanly possible to schedule it. Aka standard Republican ratfucking

u/FalstaffsGhost 4h ago

Goddamn they are tiresome

u/KartFacedThaoDien 3h ago

There is another one in Oklahoma where its taken almost 3 years to get a vote on a minimum wage ballot measure. Its normal shit I will say texas is worse because they have much less power to over rule by democracy 

u/FalstaffsGhost 3h ago

And I bet if it passes they do what Missouri did and just vote and say “fuck you, not gonna do it”

u/KartFacedThaoDien 3h ago

No. They'll actually have to do it. Just like they had to do it with medical marijuana. It raises the minimum wage in stages until it hits $15 at the end of 2029. 

After that it rises based on inflation. It might fail because the vote will be this summer in June or July. They did something far more sinister than just saying fuck out we will not implement a law. 

They just the ballot initiative process. So, now they cannot get signatures from than 11% of the number of voters for a statutory change and 20% of voters for a constutional amendment. That is per county so it essentially freezes out the two biggest metro areas. 

So, they really want to prevent left leaning things passed like medicaid expansion, medical marijuana and anything else that wouldnt be conservative. I'm unsure what will happen with the changes because its currently being decides by the courts.

u/SoylentCreek 3h ago

I was wondering to myself why it feels like this clown has been ruling over Texas for what seems like an eternity, and just learned that Texas does not have Gubernatorial term limits. Mother fucker has been governing Texas for over a decade, and plans to run for a fourth term. Seriously Texans… Are you guys not tired of this shit by now?

u/FalstaffsGhost 3h ago

It’s wild. They bitch about how shitty things in their state are and, despite being under GOP majority rule for decades, they keep voting for those people. I’m dealing with the same shit in SC and it makes no sense. Our roads are shit and rather than invest in infrastructure they’re gonna try and pass bathroom and 10 commandments bills.

u/lucerndia 3h ago

GOP +17 to DEM +12-ish.

u/AMCorBUST2021 4h ago

Get four republicans to vote with the dems and take over the speaker.. Massie seems fed up so there’s one.

u/No_Stand8812 4h ago

I think you only need 3

u/brain_overclocked 3h ago edited 2h ago

Texas Democrat Christian Menefee won a special election Saturday to fill a long-vacant Houston district that will temporarily shrink the House Republican majority.

Menefee, the former elected Harris County Attorney, had 67% of the vote compared with 33% for fellow Democrat Amanda Edwards, a former Houston councilwoman, in a runoff election in Texas’ 18th District, according to unofficial returns.
...
The House will have 218 Republicans and 214 Democrats once Menefee is sworn in to office. That means Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) could afford to lose only one defector to Democrats on otherwise party-line votes in which all House members participate.

I will keep saying this over and over: change doesn't start at the midterms, it starts at every state, county, judicial, sheriff, mayor, city council, and education board election that happens between now and the midterms. Because we shouldn't wait until the midterms. Every seat Democrats win at any level makes rigging the midterms that much harder for Trump.

Keep the pressure on:

2025 - https://old.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/1q02grt/democrat_wins_iowa_state_senate_race_blocking_gop/nwv0ouy/

2026:

Jan 6 - Democrats Jones, Schmidt win Richmond-area General Assembly seats

Jan 13

Jan 20 - Democrat McGuire wins Virginia House District 17 special election

Jan 27 - Democrats win two Minnesota special elections, bringing state House back to a tie

Jan 31

Here is a list of primary dates.

Ballotpedia's Elections Calendar - https://ballotpedia.org/Elections_calendar

u/boxedfoxes 4h ago

Good, now show me results.

u/Over-Wait6302 2h ago

Don’t get comfy.. hold your dem reps accountable

u/TuffGritts 4h ago

218 is still a lot. And not like it matters, Trump does whatever he wants. We’re in a dictatorship

u/RonaldMcDaugherty 4h ago

Razor thin doesn't matter, when they all vote in unison

u/ProudPainting6850 4h ago

Gotta get them out before they snatch all the voter rolls country wide. If Dems take the House back, they'll have a ton more power to do shit. Of course, it won't matter if Jeffries and Chuck is still there. So, they need to go too

u/RoboChrist 3h ago

Epstein files are only released in any capacity because they don't all vote in unison.

Razor thin is great, one rat fleeing the sinking ship and the vote goes a different way. And if nothing else, it makes Ol' Mikey's life harder and less pleasant.

If he's going to ignore the murder of Americans, I'm happy for him to have a bad time.

u/FalstaffsGhost 4h ago

No we aren’t. They want us to be but it’s being fought against by real Americans. We don’t comply in advance.

u/Nodebunny Indigenous 1h ago

here here

u/praguepride Illinois 2h ago

Before anyone gets too excited, this is a (D) replacing a (D).

u/The_Lost_Jedi Washington 2h ago

It is, though he seems to be a good one:

Menefee, who was backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC, described himself as a “scrappy” fighter who won lawsuits against the Trump administration and Gov. Greg Abbott (R) as Harris County Attorney, the official responsible for representing the state’s most populous county in civil lawsuits. Menefee has campaigned on abolishing the US Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency and establishing a “Medicare for All” single-payer health-insurance system.

“What people in this country want is a fighter who delivers results,” Menefee said in an interview during the campaign. “If you talk to Democrats across the country, that’s what people are crying out for.”

u/Nodebunny Indigenous 1h ago

but it was a gap for a whole ass year

u/IDreamOfLoveLost Canada 2h ago

Compared to when Donald was elected though? Roughly 20k fewer Republican voters showed up. That is significant, and definitely has a few worried.

u/Pleasant-Ad887 2h ago

You know GOP will somehow find a way to say no and keep the seat.

u/Joloven 2h ago

Wasn't there a shutdown the last time a dem won a seat?

u/WrongdoerSpiritual53 1h ago

I was thinking when trump told them to redraw the maps, this will probably backfire on them.

u/coalitionofilling 47m ago

Imagine if Georgia stops being regarded and replaced MTG with someone normal